1

Igliano Des Iris

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Adn Travaux Publics (criterium) - Attele · 7f 219y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

75%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 21/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 021/05C?C0 @ Vichy 03/06/2024 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y 0C0 @ Vichy 03/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 03/08C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 25/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Saint Galmier 17/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 017/02C?6 @ Vichy 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/06C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 25/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Vichy?1st1st0
2026-07-21Saint Galmier?2nd2nd0
2026-06-27Lyon-Parilly?2nd2nd0
2026-06-13Vichy62nd3rd1
2025-02-17Saint Galmier?5th5th0
2025-01-30Lyon La Soie?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0525/0127/0625/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20243rd4/179%86%+0.07
03/06/202410th12/137%31%-0.06
03/08/202410th6/168%36%-0.33
25/01/20255th6/168%69%+0.01
17/02/20255th8/1196%43%-0.53
13/06/20262nd7/163%92%+0.29
27/06/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
21/07/20262nd4/696%91%-0.06
25/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53