7
Invictus Nar
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Adn Travaux Publics (criterium) - Attele · 7f 219y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength11%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-10-28 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2023 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 94% | +0.20 |
| 19/06/2024 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 25/08/2024 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 28/10/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |