3
Jade Major
7yo Mare · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Adn Travaux Publics (criterium) - Attele · 7f 219y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Reims | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 30/12/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |