12
I've Got The Honey
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 16/08/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 31/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |