6
Lady On A Mission
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 67
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +10.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |