2
Nanina
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-05-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +10.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 24/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |