7
Pharoah's Affair
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 1/3 | 98% | 60% | -0.38 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |