9
Prophetic Debby
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 90
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -18.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |