13
Silicium
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | −2 | ||
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/11/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |