4
Alpha Gamma Girl
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 11 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |