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Beautiful Things
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 11 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |