Autobahn Ace
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 79
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Woodbine | BHA77 | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-06-01 | Hastings Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |