3
Djoser
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Turf Paradise | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 26/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 24/03/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |