7
Waheela
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |