3
Don't Say A Word
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 51
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +20.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |