5
Hurricane Amelia
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 59
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 25/10/2025 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 9% | -0.67 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |