1
No Frills
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +11.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 13% | -0.70 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |