Instant Response
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +12.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 26/10/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |