
Zucchero
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 10% | -0.64 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 12/02/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |