1

Zucchero

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 81

Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Kentucky Downs 04/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f 119 · HIGHER CLASS4/09C6C9 @ Keeneland 03/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 57 · 6f110y 119 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 57 parC6 @ Gulfstream 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 63 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 63 par1/11C6OR 63C6 @ Gulfstream 12/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 76 · 7f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 76 parC6 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 79 par12/03C6OR 79C6 @ Woodbine 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Woodbine 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 7f110y Fm 120 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 82 par24/07C8OR 82C8 @ Woodbine 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 79 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 79 par28/08C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-07-24Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-06-21Woodbine?5th3rd+2
2026-03-12Gulfstream?8th6th+2
2026-02-12Gulfstream?8th6th+2
2025-11-01Gulfstream?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0912/0224/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/202510th5/174%10%-0.64
03/10/20254th9/488%70%-0.18
01/11/20255th7/163%43%-0.20
12/02/20268th6/168%13%-0.56
12/03/20268th20/10%0%0.00
21/06/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
24/07/20264th9/488%67%-0.21
28/08/20262nd4/179%90%+0.11