6
Justify Perfection
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-22 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-10 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 23/03/2024 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 20/04/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 22/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 18/08/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |