Queens Command
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 103
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 21/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |