1
Regal Moment
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 88
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 70% | -0.22 |