4
Sheshimaintenance
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
83%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |