5
Takemetothebeach
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |