War Signal
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Woodbine | BHA92 | 10th | 14th | −4 |
| 2025-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | +5 | ||
| 2025-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2024 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 23/11/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 07/12/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/01/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/05/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 20/07/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |