3
Celebrity Ro
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 21/11/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |