5
Chromeplated Heart
8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 88
Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 31/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |