9
Miramichi
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/11/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |