6
Retail Therapist
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 94
Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -10.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |