Headspin
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |