10
Money Heist
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -14.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |