IvyArcIvyArc
7

Lost And Found

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 100

Woodbine · Race 8 - Sweet Briar Too Stakes · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 93 · 5f Fm 120 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 93 par2/09C6OR 93C5 @ Keeneland 15/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Churchill Downs 06/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 96 · 5f Fm 118 · below its mark06/11/2025 · OR 96 par6/11C5OR 96C6 @ Gulfstream 20/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 99 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 99 parC6 @ Turfway Park 01/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 90 · 6f 124 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 90 par1/03C6OR 90C6 @ Turfway Park 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 93 · 6f 123 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 93 parC5 @ Laurel Park 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 94 · 5f110y Fm 124 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 94 par15/05C5OR 94C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 96 · 6f 123 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 96 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 97 par3/08C5OR 97projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-06-16Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-05-15Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-03-27Turfway Park?1st2nd−1
2026-03-01Turfway Park?1st2nd−1
2025-12-20Gulfstream?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0920/1215/053/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength64%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20251st4/797%100%+0.03
15/10/20253rd6/168%82%+0.13
06/11/20252nd11/486%89%+0.03
20/12/20254th10/382%40%-0.42
01/03/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
27/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
15/05/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
16/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
03/08/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04