4

Miss Vyvyanne
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 98
Woodbine · Race 8 - Sweet Briar Too Stakes · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |