1

Quadruple

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 96

Woodbine · Race 8 - Sweet Briar Too Stakes · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Dundalk 08/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 90 · 1m Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/11/2024 · OR 90 par8/111OR 901 @ Gowran Park 07/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 90 · 1m1f100y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2025 · OR 90 par1 @ Navan 07/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 87 · 1m30y Yie 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 87 par7/061OR 87BHA86 @ Curragh 27/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 86 · 7f Goo 136 · beat its mark27/06/2025 · OR 86 parBHA95 @ Gowran Park 13/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 95 · 7f Goo 140 · below its mark13/08/2025 · OR 95 par13/0895OR 95BHA92 @ Leopardstown 13/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR 92 · 1m Goo 140 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 92 parC1 @ Woodbine 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 91 par2/05C1OR 91C0 @ Woodbine 19/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 99 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 99 parC1 @ Woodbine 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 98 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 98 par22/08C1OR 98projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Woodbine?3rd-2th+4
2026-07-19Woodbine?6th1st+4
2026-05-02Woodbine?3rd-2th+4
2025-09-13LeopardstownBHA9210th16th5
2025-08-13Gowran ParkBHA954th10th5
2025-06-27CurraghBHA861st6th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1127/062/0522/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20248th12/137%46%+0.09
07/05/202511th16/116%9%-0.07
07/06/202512th80/10%0%0.00
27/06/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
13/08/20254th10/382%25%-0.57
13/09/202510th33/10%53%+0.53
02/05/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
19/07/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
22/08/20263rd7/282%33%-0.48