
Quadruple
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 96
Woodbine · Race 8 - Sweet Briar Too Stakes · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-09-13 | Leopardstown | BHA92 | 10th | 16th | −5 |
| 2025-08-13 | Gowran Park | BHA95 | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2025-06-27 | Curragh | BHA86 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 07/05/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 07/06/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 13/08/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 13/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |