6
Uphill Dance
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 97
Woodbine · Race 8 - Sweet Briar Too Stakes · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength69%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Turfway Park | BHA98 | 7th | 13th | −5 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-10-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 21/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |