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19:18 · Churchill Downs

Race 6 - Claiming

7f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 89
3/1
Sweet Note silks

L F Geaux Racing

Sweet Note

4yo Filly · 8-10

Hightail - Sweet Sermon (Tapit)

Tyler Gaffalione60%1/3Kinnon Larose60%
116324
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/11 · mark par6/1120/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par28/12 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par8/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par31/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par28/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%6/11Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%28/12Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%31/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%28/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.4%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav3
OR 90
2/1
Tiffany Twist silks

Carlos Santamaria

Tiffany Twist

8yo Mare · 8-10

Flat Out - Successful Slew (Successful Appeal)

Jaime Torres60%Carlos Santamaria70%
344223
6.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

21/12 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par21/1213/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par19/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par14/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%21/12Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%19/03Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%6/07Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%7/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.4%Ahead 3/4
7
Value2
OR 80
10/1
Story Hour silks

Snake River Stable Llc

Story Hour

7yo Mare · 8-10

Creative Cause - Magic Hour (Awesome Again)

Cristian Torres60%1/5Robert Medina60%
561633
6.0

Class Advantage

11/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/01 · mark par11/0124/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%11/01Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%22/03Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%19/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%17/07
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.3%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 84
8/1
Fugitive Star silks

David Jacobson

Fugitive Star

4yo Filly · 8-10

Nyquist - Voting Agreement (More Than Ready)

Luis Saez60%David Jacobson80%
263387
3.0Going 9.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

12/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par12/0221/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par20/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par6/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par28/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%12/02Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%20/04Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%6/08Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%28/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.8%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 88
7/2
Spencerian silks

Bregman Family Racing Llc

Spencerian

6yo Mare · 8-10

Irish War Cry - Cursive (Straight Talking)

Axel ConcepcionWilliam Walden60%
441554
5.0

Class Advantage

22/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par22/0212/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par1/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%22/02Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%1/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%27/06Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%7/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.2%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 92
8/1
Dozen Diamonds silks

Scattered Acres Llc

Dozen Diamonds

5yo Mare · 8-10

Mendelssohn - Twelve Jewels (Yes It's True)

D E Sheehy60%Chris Hartman
935314
6.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

16/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par16/1128/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par13/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par13/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par17/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%16/11Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%13/02Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%17/04Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%25/04
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.7%Ahead 1/4
2
8
OR 82
6/1
Best Cupcake silks

W Bruce Lunsford Revocable Living Trust And Lauer, Penny S

Best Cupcake

5yo Mare · 8-10

Oscar Performance - Hey There Cupcake (Prized)

Jareth Loveberry60%0/1Michael Lauer
395472
5.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

7/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/042/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par21/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par18/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength84%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 82%7/04Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%6/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%15/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%18/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.8%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 77
30/1
Mombayla silks

Ismael Bahena

Mombayla

5yo Mare · 8-10

Karakontie - California Breeze (Into Mischief)

Summer Pauly60%0/2Ismael Bahena
621865
4.0

Class Advantage

8/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/02 · mark par8/0221/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par11/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par15/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par7/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%8/02Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%11/03Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%6/06Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%7/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.2%Ahead 2/4