18:20 · Thistledown

Race 4 - Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 78
2/1
Sammy's Smile silks

Siesta Thoroughbred Racing

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Itsmyluckyday - American Prize (Pure Prize)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%1/6Richard Zielinski60%
312444
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/0510/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%13/05Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%2/07Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%19/08Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 40%3/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.4%Ahead 0/4
5
Market Fav2
OR 65
9/5
Mister Mobil silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

9yo Gelding · 8-11

Mobil - Apple Annie (Lemon Drop Kid)

Jason Simpson60%0/1Ricardo Bailey60%
975413
6.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Class Advantage

20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/0630/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par13/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par25/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%20/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%13/07Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%25/08Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 60%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 68
4/1
Into Gold silks

Argenis Serrano

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Goldencents - Ebby (Mercer Mill)

Luis Batista60%3/9Johanson Serrano60%
133652
4.0

Class Advantage

29/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/0418/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par1/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%29/04Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%11/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%27/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%11/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 62
6/1
Cleveland Power silks

Jose Lopez

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Global Power - Cleveland (Empire Maker)

Francisco Garcia60%Jose Lopez
242236
5.0

Class Advantage

4/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par4/026/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%4/02Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%3/04Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%19/08Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%7/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.1%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 63
12/1
Watchoutforweaver silks

Lmj Racing

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Awesome Patriot - The Lady Waffles (Wavering Monarch)

Angel Diaz60%1/7Lorenzo Juarez
256474
4.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/0427/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par1/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par25/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%3/04Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%27/05Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%10/08Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%25/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.0%Ahead 0/4
6
5
OR 69
8/1
Goldstriker silks

N And E Racing Stables

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Paynter - Mongoose Gold (Mongoose)

Jefferson Skerrett60%1/5−5lbSaul Morales60%
483166
5.0

Class Advantage

4/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/03 · mark par4/0327/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%4/03Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%3/04Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%18/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.7%Ahead 2/4
7
7
OR 44
20/1
Drill's Boy silks

Elias Del Val

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Drill - Candys Girl (Bertolini)

German Terraza0/3Jose Romero
465756
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

23/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par23/0310/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par2/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par25/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%23/03Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%2/06Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%25/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/4