2

Humour Festif

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Grand National Du Trot - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#16

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 16/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14316/10C?C0 @ Nantes 05/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 28/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14328/12C?4 @ Vincennes 15/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 143C0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 14325/03C?3 @ Enghien 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 143C0 @ Laval 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1433/06C?4 @ Cabourg 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 143C0 @ Enghien 02/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 1432/08C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Enghien?7th7th0
2026-07-10Cabourg47th7th0
2026-06-03Laval?2nd2nd0
2026-04-18Enghien34th4th0
2026-03-25Marseille-borely?5th5th0
2026-02-15Vincennes45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1015/023/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20255th9/276%60%-0.16
05/11/20256th12/137%62%+0.25
28/12/20253rd16/116%87%+0.71
15/02/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
25/03/20265th5/493%56%-0.38
18/04/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
03/06/20262nd11/142%92%+0.50
10/07/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
02/08/20267th12/137%50%+0.13