16:00 · Goodwood

Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap

6fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap17 runners
Ordered by projected finish
16
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 72
6/1
Sound And Vision silks

David Ward

3yo Filly · 9-4

Starman - Commodus (Australia)

K Shoemark60%2/4E Walker
315321
8.0Going 7.0
Tongue strap

10/3, career best when winning 7-runner C&D handicap (good) 26 days ago. Remains unexposed as sprinters go and a 3 lb rise shouldn't prevent another prominent showing.

Class Advantage

9/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/1219/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/12 · mark par10/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/01 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%9/12Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 5 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 20%10/01Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%1/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.3%Ahead 1/4
11
3
OR 75
10/1
Serenity Dream silks

Eggselltrading Ltd

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Night Of Thunder - Playfull Spirit (Invincible Spirit)

Jack Doughty3/14A W Carroll60%
562112
9.0
Cheek pieces

Returned to winning ways at Chepstow (6f, good to firm) in July and followed up at Brighton (7f, good) in August. Extended his run of good form when second of 6 back at Brighton (7f, good again) 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/057/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 76%9/05Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%2/07Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.1%Ahead 3/4
7
5
OR 77
8/1
On Edge silks

Chris Mason Racing

8yo Gelding · 9-11

Mayson - Edge Of Light (Xaar)

Gina Mangan60%7/23C Mason60%
181371
7.0Going 8.0
Visor

Made a winning return over 5f at Chepstow in May and career best when getting his head back in front in the mud at Sandown (5f) 12 days ago. Runner-up on previous Goodwood visit.

Class Advantage

30/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par30/0920/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%30/09Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 13%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%29/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%14/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.7%Ahead 2/4
2
6
OR 82
12/1
Brosay silks

RC VIP Syndicate VIII

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Tasleet - Hattytown (Ivawood)

Rossa Ryan70%Charlie Pike60%
060992
5.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

Stopped the slide when second of 7 over C&D (heavy) 15 days ago but nudged back up 2 lb and this looks a more competitive race.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par30/057/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par27/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 15%30/05Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 36%11/07Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%12/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%8/09
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.9%Ahead 4/4
1
Value2
OR 82
16/1
Mister Bluebird silks

Dawn Aldham And Wetumpka Racing

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Outstrip - Childesplay (Byron)

Jack Dace70%1/2−5lbH Main60%
022073
6.0
Cheek pieces

C&D winner. Good second at Musselburgh and over 7f here in the spring but 3 lesser efforts have followed, beaten 8 lengths when third (Brosay second) of 7 over C&D (heavy) 15 days ago.

Class Advantage

27/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/0326/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par22/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par29/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 15%27/03Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 92%22/05Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%29/08Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%8/09
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 12-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 4/4
5
14
OR 80
13/2
George Wickham silks

Jane Davis And Sara Mould

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Soldier's Call - Blushing Gal (Famous Name)

Paddy Bradley1/2G & J Moore
721
7.0

Progressive form, winning 6f Wolverhampton maiden in July. Lacks experience for a race like this but there should be more to come from him in handicaps.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/0811/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/0614/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%16/08Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 86%11/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%14/07
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.6%Ahead 2/3
17
7
OR 72
12/1
Percy's Star silks

Strawberry Fields Stud

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Territories - Thraya Star (Shamardal)

S De Sousa60%1/6C A Dwyer60%
241662
5.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Showed improved form when making a winning handicap debut in first-time headgear at Leicester (5f, good) in June. Back on the up with blinkers added (retained) when close second of 9 at Yarmouth (7f, good) last Tuesday. Came clear of the rest and looks well treated off the same mark.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/0525/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 91%11/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%18/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%15/09
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.9%Ahead 2/4
3
15
OR 80
14/1
Star Chorus silks

Manor Park Racing

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Mehmas - Summer Chorus (Exceed And Excel)

Rob Hornby3/10M Murphy
056604
3.0

Found it hard on turf over the summer but fared better when fourth of 12 at Southwell (6f) 3 weeks ago. Others are preferred back on the grass.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/0627/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par27/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par10/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 26%6/06Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 55%10/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%10/08Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%3/09
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.6%Ahead 4/4
14
4
OR 74
20/1
Kesta silks

Mrs Tina Larcombe

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Kessaar - Destacado (Mehmas)

Charles Bishop2/8Eve Johnson Houghton80%
160050
2.0Going 8.0

Kept busy as a juvenile, winning 3 times at 5f/6f, but he has yet to hit top form in 4 runs this season. Needs to take a big step back in the right direction.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/1025/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par2/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%2/10Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%2/05Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%19/06Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 52%29/07
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.1%Ahead 1/4
10
8
OR 75
10/1
Rage Of Thunder silks

B D Haynes, G L Moore, Alan Jamieson

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Inns Of Court - Stormy Clouds (Sir Prancealot)

T P Queally60%2/10G & J Moore
051352
5.0

Won over 6f at Newbury in June and bettered even that form when runner-up at Kempton 19 days ago. Same mark today.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/0512/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 12%9/05Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%23/06Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 20%29/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%4/09
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 6-17 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.4%Ahead 2/4
12
12
OR 75
7/1
Robert Anstruther silks

Candy Deal & Jensen

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Time Test - Distinctive (Tobougg)

J P Spencer60%H Candy
477312
7.0

Suited by the return to 6f, scoring readily at Nottingham (good to firm) in July. Good second of 10 at Newmarket (good to firm again) since. Nudged up another 2 lb.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par27/0423/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 70%27/04Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 54%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%12/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%31/07
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.5%Ahead 3/4
6
9
OR 78
12/1
Em Four silks

Mr J A Osborne

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Sixties Icon - Emten (Bungle Inthejungle)

Saffie Osborne70%5/15J A Osborne
578515
4.0

Won 3 times on all-weather earlier in the year and having edged back down to his last winning mark without doing too much wrong, he resumed winning ways with a bit up his sleeve in a 6-runner handicap at Brighton (5.3f, good to firm) last month. Respectable fifth at Epsom since.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par21/0512/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 20%21/05Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%4/07Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%24/08Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 7-17 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.1%Ahead 2/4
8
10
OR 77
14/1
Tenbob Tommy silks

The Affordable Partnership

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Ten Sovereigns - Swinging Jean (Sixties Icon)

Donagh Murphy60%−5lbMiss S West
811327
6.0Going 10.0

Off the mark in a Lingfield novice in January and followed up in 6f Leicester handicap 3 months later. Continued in form with 2 placed efforts last month and can have a line put through his latest Salisbury run (raced alone on far side).

Class Advantage

22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par22/1212/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par13/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par17/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 36%22/12Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%13/04Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%17/08Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%11/09
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 3/4
9
16
OR 78
20/1
Underwriter silks

Apollo Horses V

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Mehmas - Zaur's Heart (No Nay Never)

H Crouch60%Michael Keady60%
004006
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Won maiden/novice events over 6f at Ayr for Archie Watson last summer. Bounced back to form on second run for new yard with Ascot fourth in July. Best effort since when sixth of 12 at Yarmouth (6f, good) in first-time cheekpieces (retained) last Wednesday.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0610/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par16/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 20 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 10%13/06Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 75%25/07Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 28%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 9%5/09Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%16/09
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.7%Ahead 4/4
13
11
OR 75
25/1
Kennington silks

Mrs M T Bevan & Mr A Bevan

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Ardad - Bella Ragazza (Dutch Art)

Tom Marquand70%H Morrison60%
3109
4.0Going 8.0

Impressively landed 7f novice at Lingfield in June but has disappointed in 2 handicaps since. Still early days but needs to get his career back on track.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/041/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/062/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par2/0729/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 82%28/04Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 11 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 11 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 23%2/07Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%29/08
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.2%Ahead 2/4
4
13
OR 81
12/1
Arry Up silks

Canisbay Bloodstock

3yo Gelding · 9-13

Harry Angel - Bowstar (Oasis Dream)

Lewis Edmunds60%4/8B R Millman
104164
5.0Going 8.0

Completed hat-trick at Kempton in April and resumed progress to win at Sandown in July. Has disappointed twice since, although heavy ground may not have suited over C&D latterly.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/048/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%8/04Pos 19 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 19 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%10/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%26/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%8/09
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.1%Ahead 2/4