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15:41 · Listowel

Listowel Arms Hotel Handicap

1mYielding3YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 79
3/1
Morehampton silks

Miss Scarlett Mullion

Morehampton

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Sea The Moon - Donnybrook (Invincible Spirit)

Ben Coen70%1/9J P Murtagh
050932
6.0

On a losing run but back in excellent form of late when placed in handicaps (around 7f) at Gowran and Roscommon. Can go well again.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par23/055/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%23/05Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 31%27/06Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 82%7/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%31/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 77
6/1
Glyndwr silks

Lance Bloodstock Limited

Glyndwr

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Arizona. - Tonkolili (Kodiac)

Shane Foley60%Gerard O'Leary70%
075346
3.0
Blinkers

Dual 1m Dundalk winner (in cheekpieces) last term. In good form this summer until a below-par sixth of 10 in handicap at Laytown (7f) 12 days ago. Well worth another chance here with headgear fitted for first time this season.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par10/0519/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%10/05Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%9/07Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%30/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +53.9%Ahead 4/4
3
4
OR 79
7/2
Goal Exceeded silks

Breen White & Martin W White & Ms Hazel McGuinness & Declan Sheridan

Goal Exceeded

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Iffraaj - Twinkle Twinkle (Exceed And Excel)

Adam Caffrey3/10A McGuinness60%
031441
8.0
Tongue strap

Doubled her tally for the season in 12-runner handicap at Roscommon (7.4f, good to soft) 22 days ago by ½ length from Morehampton. Up 3 lb but not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/0419/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par18/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 44%19/04Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 79%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%9/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 4/4
4
2
OR 82
15/2
Galileo Noir silks

Patrick Sexton

Galileo Noir

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Saxon Warrior - Sundiata (Showcasing)

Colin Keane60%1/2N Meade60%
7315
5.0

Looked on the up when bagging 9f maiden at the Curragh in April. Off since failing to stay 1¼m when fifth of 6 in conditions event at Naas following month. Returns for his handicap debut (gelded) dropped in trip and remains with potential.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/1122/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/033/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/049/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%21/11Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%22/03Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%3/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%9/05
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.3%Ahead 3/4
9
Market Fav6
OR 72
5/2
Highbury See See silks

Hugo McDermott

Highbury See See

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Belardo - Heart's Desire (Royal Applause)

Andrew Slattery60%1/10A Slattery
403092
6.0

Dual 7f/1m winner last year. Bounced back to form with second of 18 in handicap at Cork (1m, soft) 13 days ago. Goes well on soft ground so must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/0524/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par31/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par9/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 77%11/05Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%10/06Pos 16 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 16 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 27%31/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 94%9/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.4%Ahead 1/4
8
5
OR 74
18/1
Exquisite Acclaim silks

Thomas J O'Connor & Ms Hazel McGuinness

Exquisite Acclaim

7yo Gelding · 9-1

Acclamation - Exquisite Ruby (Exceed And Excel)

Conor Cusack−7lbA McGuinness100%
360463
4.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Resumed winning ways at Dundalk in January but been a mixed bag since, not disgraced with third of 10 in handicap at Laytown (7f) 12 days ago. Tongue strap goes on for first time and cheekpieces are also refitted.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par8/0716/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%8/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%30/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%2/09Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%10/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.4%Ahead 3/4
2
7
OR 79
17/2
Eddie G silks

Taceec Syndicate

Eddie G

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Kuroshio - Leitra Lady (Azamour)

Reese Holohan60%−7lbA McGuinness60%
391185
4.0
Tongue strap

Dual 7f handicap scorer at Naas and Galway later in July. Not in same form at Roscommon and Galways since so bounce back is needed.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par19/069/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par22/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 75%19/06Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%31/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%8/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 2/4