14:32 · Listowel

Edmund & Josie Whelan Memorial Listowel Stakes (Listed)

1mYieldingClass 13YO plusTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
5
OR 92
15/2
Iron Fist silks

Anamoine Limited

4yo Gelding · 9-9

New Bay - Velvetina (Barathea)

Shane Foley60%2/12Mrs J Harrington80%
023050
2.0Going 8.0

Useful gelding. 22/1, respectable eleventh of 22 in handicap at the Curragh (1¼m, good to soft) 9 days ago, having to pick way through. Yard is no stranger to success in this race.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par3/0424/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par23/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par15/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par13/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move7
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 55%3/04Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%23/05Pos 22 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 69%15/08Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 52%13/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.5%Ahead 3/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 96
11/1
Iowa City silks

Ballylinch Stud

4yo Filly · 9-4

Territories - Iowa Falls (Dansili)

Billy Lee60%1/4P Twomey
331340
4.0Going 10.0

Useful filly. Encouraging return when fourth of 8 to Beset in listed race at Naas in March but off since a lesser effort at the Curragh in May. Claims on her peak form.

Class Advantage

30/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a30/1013/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par9/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par30/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par22/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par23/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par23/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move4
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%30/10Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%9/09Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%22/03Pos 16 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 16 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 21%23/05
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.1%Ahead 2/4
8
Value2
OR 94
12/1
Qualixia silks

Tara Dwan

5yo Mare · 9-4

Blue Point - Quariana (Lomitas)

Declan McDonogh60%J P O'Brien
311541
8.0Going 10.0

Useful winner in France, notably a listed race at Fontainebleau (1¼m, good to soft) last November. This is a slightly belated reappearance but her top new stable is in good form.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/058/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a22/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a22/11projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%1/05Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%2/07Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%19/10Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%22/11
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.0%Ahead 4/4
10
Market Fav3
OR 104
9/4
Meriden silks

Patrick John O'Brien & Mrs Paul Shanahan

3yo Filly · 9-3

Bated Breath - Midweek (Motivator)

Chris Hayes60%3/6D Hogan
111267
5.0Class ↓1Going 8.0

Has improved in leaps and bounds this season, completing a 5-timer in listed race at Killarney in July. Ran as well as could be expected when 5 lengths seventh of 9 to Blue Bolt in recent Matron Stakes at Leopardstown (1m, good to firm) and can make presence felt with sights lowered.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/0627/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par15/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par30/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par29/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par12/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 62%29/08Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 25%12/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.6%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 105
9/4
Jagged Edge silks

Shamrock Thoroughbreds

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Blue Point - Jaega (Fastnet Rock)

Jack Kearney2/4Stephen Thorne
010301
6.0Going 8.0

Has progressed into a smart performer for current yard, winning listed race at Killarney (1m, good, 7/2) 32 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Carolina Jetstream. Shouldered with a 3 lb penalty for that but it may not stop him.

Class Advantage

14/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/0917/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par21/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move6
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 17 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%14/09Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 59%17/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 31%2/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%21/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.6%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 93
7/1
Chica Guerrera silks

Trouble & Strife Syndicate

4yo Filly · 9-4

Saxon Warrior - Elusive Gold (Elusive City)

Gavin Ryan0/1M Fahey
431022
5.0Going 8.0

Useful filly. Latest win handicap at Down Royal in June. Fine second of 18 in handicap (18/1) at Leopardstown (8.3f, good to firm) 10 days ago. Capable of being very competitive in this higher grade.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/051/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par31/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par5/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move8
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 50%Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%15/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 24%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%5/08Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 94%12/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.7%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 98
25/1
Cristal Clere silks

John J Nallen

8yo Gelding · 9-9

Harzand - Lady Catherine (Bering)

Seamie Heffernan1/5J Nallen60%
225196
5.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Not at his best in 2 outings at the start of the summer but enjoyed his finest hour when winning this 12 months ago and no surprise were he to bounce back to form with a bang.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par15/0621/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par22/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par23/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par19/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move5
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%15/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%22/09Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%23/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%19/06
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.5%Ahead 3/4
4
10
OR 83
33/1
Bay Colony silks

Craig Bernick

4yo Filly · 9-4

New Bay - Coco Rouge (Shamardal)

Ben Coen70%J A Stack60%
317749
3.0Class ↓1

Fairly useful filly. 22/1, 12¼ lengths ninth of 10 to Moody in listed race at Gowran (1¾m, good to soft) in May. Significantly down in trip on first outing since. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage

23/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par23/0325/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par5/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par19/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par3/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par5/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par5/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move4
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 85%23/03Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%5/06Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 82%3/04Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 11%5/05
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.6%Ahead 3/4
9
8
OR 87
25/1
Queen Of The Bogs silks

Mrs Olivia Hoare

4yo Filly · 9-4

Lope De Vega - Nkosikazi (Cape Cross)

Colin Keane60%J J Murphy60%
71824
4.0
1st Hood +1

Won 9f maiden at the Curragh last summer. Reappeared with a promising second at Fairyhouse in June but not seen again until fourth of 6 at Punchestown (9f, good) last Tuesday. Has a first-time hood added on the back of that.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0620/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par15/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 20%Dist: 1m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%27/06Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%20/07Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 13%22/08Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%12/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%15/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.1%Ahead 2/4
12
9
OR 91
10/1
Mixed Feelings silks

C Acheson

3yo Filly · 9-0

Sioux Nation - Active Approach (New Approach)

J M Sheridan60%1/2J P O'Brien
3150
3.0Going 8.0

Won 1m Leopardstown maiden on reappearance in April. Creditable fifth in 10.5f Naas listed race next time and had little chance from her draw in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot in June. Freshened up since. Remains unexposed for top stable.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0915/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/049/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a9/0519/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 25%Dist: 1m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%20/09Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%15/04Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%9/05Pos 24 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 21%19/06
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.1%Ahead 3/4
7
11
OR 58
200/1
La Tulipe Noire silks

Aengus King

6yo Mare · 9-4

Berkshire - Ambermaryrose (Cape Cross)

Jessica O'Gorman60%2/12Aengus King60%
309587
2.0
Cheek pieces

Back-to-back handicap winner on the Flat last autumn but not seen since a fall over hurdles in May. Out of her depth in this company.

Class Advantage

23/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par23/1115/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par8/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par4/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/05projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move6
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 30%23/11Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 47%8/04Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%4/05Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%8/05
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 3/4