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17:14 · Churchill Downs

Race 2 - Starter Allowance

1m3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Value2
OR 95
6/1
Susan's Boy silks

Conte, Kyle, Stewart, Jason And Colebrook, Ben

Susan's Boy

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Candy Ride - Una Mac Cool (Giant's Causeway)

Dylan Machado60%1/2Ben Colebrook
527512
7.0

Class Advantage

19/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par19/1222/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par19/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par23/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par18/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%19/12Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 14%19/02Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%12/07
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 3/4
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 100
6/5
Laughnowcrylater silks

Phs Racing Llc

Laughnowcrylater

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Ghostzapper - Hot Roots (Indian Charlie)

Jose Ortiz60%0/2Michael McCarthy60%
262213
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

22/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par22/069/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par12/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par8/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par16/11 · C7 · finish vs mark above16/11 · mark par21/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%22/06Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 86%12/09Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%16/11Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 71%21/06
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 1/4
1
3
OR 88
4/1
Culprit silks

David Jacobson

Culprit

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Justify - Henny Jenney (Henny Hughes)

Tyler Gaffalione60%David Jacobson60%
120044
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

23/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par23/0628/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par19/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par25/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%23/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 10%19/09Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%29/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%21/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -33.9%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 90
5/1
Fletcher Bay silks

Contreras Stable, Inc And Rountree, William

Fletcher Bay

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Speightstown - Regia Marina (Medaglia D'oro)

Emmanuel Esquivel60%2/4Cipriano Contreras60%
173941
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

12/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par12/0825/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par9/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par4/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/11 · mark par14/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par31/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%12/08Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 71%9/10Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 27%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%14/07Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 88
10/1
Spurgeon silks

Hayden Thoroughbreds, Jones And Lappe Thoroughbreds Llc, Howard, Forrest And Rutledge, Emily

Spurgeon

4yo Colt · 8-10

Honor A. P. - Lipstick City (City Zip)

Gabriel SaezShelbi Kurtz60%
517641
6.0

Class Advantage

23/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par23/041/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%23/04Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 14%16/08Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%11/07Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%7/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 2/4
4
6
OR 100
7/2
Suited And Booted silks

Outliers Racing

Suited And Booted

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Classic Empire - Cocoanut Row (Mineshaft)

James Graham60%J Sweezey60%
21D36
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

22/02 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a22/0227/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par8/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par12/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par17/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par17/10projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%22/02Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%27/03Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%8/05Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%12/06Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%17/10
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.0%Ahead 1/4