15:25 · Goodwood

Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 6fGoing TBCClass 33YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 77
4/1
Hope Rising silks

One More Moment of Madness

5yo Mare · 9-11

Phoenix Of Spain - Jellicle Ball (Invincible Spirit)

Rob Hornby3/3Jamie Snowden
041111
8.0

5-y-o mare who has thrived following switch back to the Flat in recent months, defying a further 8 lb rise when bringing up the 4-timer at Lingfield (13f) 3 weeks ago. Handicapper has reacted again and this her toughest assignment yet but she ought to take some stopping in this groove.

Class Advantage

28/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/0615/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%28/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%4/08Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/16 | Expected: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/16 | Actual: 100%18/08Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.7%Ahead 2/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 82
6/1
Personal Best silks

Hot To Trot 1 & Mrs R Pease

4yo Filly · 10-2

Time Test - Spring Run (Nathaniel)

Rossa Ryan70%J G Portman
243213
7.0

Consistent filly who gained a deserved first success of the season over this trip at Sandown in July. Matched that form from a career-high mark when third over 2m here 24 days ago. Possibilities once more.

Class Advantage

29/10 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par29/1014/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%29/10Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%1/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.1%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 80
10/1
Green Sky silks

The Castle Daragh Syndicate

6yo Mare · 10-0

Mastercraftsman - Heroine Chic (Big Bad Bob)

Charlie Tucker70%0/2−7lbB R Millman
111438
5.0Class ↓2

Has thrived for a change of scenery, completing the hat-trick in straightforward fashion over extended 13f at Newbury in July. Respectable in-the-frame efforts next 2 starts but found things too competitive up in grade at Doncaster 12 days ago. Present mark demands that bit more in any case, though.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/0710/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par29/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par11/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 4 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%29/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.3%Ahead 3/4
1
6
OR 82
11/2
Gloryous silks

Mr W Clifford

4yo Filly · 10-2

Cotai Glory - Saikung (Acclamation)

William Carson60%3/14J A Osborne
832122
7.0Going 10.0

Resumed winning ways at Kempton (1½m) in August and remained in very good form in defeat since, posting a good second behind a 3-y-o improver at Newbury 5 days ago. No reason why she won't go well again for all this is a higher grade.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par29/0611/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%29/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%13/08Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%30/08Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%18/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.4%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 78
8/1
Kissmehoneyhoney silks

Dash Grange Stud

4yo Filly · 9-12

Crystal Ocean - Buildmeupbuttercup (Sixties Icon)

Tom Marquand70%1/1W J Haggas
1826
5.0Class ↓2

Leicester maiden winner (1¼m) on sole start at 3 yrs and stepped forward from her seasonal bow when second in a Hamilton novice (11f) in August. Didn't do herself justice on testing ground when sixth on handicap debut at Haydock (1¾m) latest and worth another chance back on a sounder surface.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/091/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/051/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a1/085/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%22/09Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%1/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%1/08Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 44%5/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.9%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 75
6/1
Solar Pass silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

4yo Filly · 9-9

Phoenix Reach - Highland Pass (Passing Glance)

Alfie Redman60%0/1−7lbA M Balding80%
152227
5.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Resumed winning ways at Southwell (1½m) in March and has finished runner up on 3 of her last 4 starts, latterly at Chester (2m) in June. All not possibly right when last of 7 over same C&D later that month and she's a likely bounce back candidate (boasts good record fresh).

Class Advantage

21/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par21/0317/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%21/03Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%2/05Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%13/06Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 0%27/06
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.1%Ahead 2/4
3
7
OR 81
11/2
Quebella silks

Mrs R G Hillen

4yo Filly · 10-1

Study Of Man - Quintada (Leroidesanimaux)

J P Spencer60%0/3Owen Burrows
364334
5.0Class ↓2

All-weather novice winner as a 3-y-o who joined present connections for 70,000 gns and encouraging start when third over 1½m here in May. Lightly raced since, finding the steady tempo no use to her after 3 months off when fourth at Bath (11.6f) 3 weeks ago. Interesting up in trip.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/0730/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par19/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par22/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par2/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%13/07Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%19/09Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 60%12/06Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%2/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.8%Ahead 1/4
8
8
OR 73
13/2
Paggane silks

R Bartlett, J Carthy & Mrs P Shanahan

7yo Mare · 9-7

Muhaarar - Penelopa (Giant's Causeway)

Saffie Osborne70%Faye Bramley
23134
6.0Going 10.0Class ↓2

Useful hurdler/chaser for Willie Mullins and fine start for present yard last year, landing back-to-back listed mares chases in November. Not in quite the same form in similar company but this first start for 7 months may well bring her on.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/0711/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par2/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par26/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par29/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par5/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par5/02projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%18/07Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%2/11Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%29/12Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 20%5/02
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.9%Ahead 2/4
9
9
OR 69
16/1
Bint Al Daar silks

Mr G R Smith

6yo Mare · 9-3

Muhaarar - Sharqeyih (Shamardal)

H Crouch60%1/1K Frost60%
587904
3.0
Visor

Ended long losing run against her own sex at Southwell in March and produced easily one of her better efforts since at very long odds when fourth at Doncaster (1½m, good to firm) 12 days ago, albeit doing things in rather laboured fashion. Mark has eased a little more ahead of this.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par20/033/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par11/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%20/03Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%11/04Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 23%21/08Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 67%11/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.7%Ahead 3/4