13:47 · Perth

Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle

2m 4f 35yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 114
7/2
Hidden Fortune silks

Mr Jarlath Patrick Conway

5yo Mare · 11-8

Soldier Of Fortune - Lady Pippa (Presenting)

Harry Skelton80%2/4D Skelton60%
12211
9.0Going 8.0

Irish point winner who was runner-up in a pair of bumpers last season is 2-2 over hurdles this time round, latterly a 17 Bangor novice 15 days ago. The handicapper hasn't taken any chances with her opening mark but there should be more to come.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/116/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0414/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/058/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%26/11Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 75%6/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.9%Ahead 2/4
7
2
OR 110
4/1
Dolly Dior silks

Mrs Wilma Duffus

5yo Mare · 11-4

Sir Percy - Loving Touch (Nathaniel)

B S Hughes60%1/1P Neville
574121
8.0Going 8.0

Surprise winner of a Hexham maiden over this trip in June but has improved again since, winning on 3m course handicap debut under Brian Hughes last month. The drop back in trip shouldn't be an issue and a must for the shortlist for her in-form stable.

Class Advantage

1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/0424/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%1/04Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%7/06Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%12/07Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +54.3%Ahead 4/4
1
3
OR 122
5/1
Letterston Lily silks

Vernon & Anna Phillips

6yo Mare · 12-2

Getaway - Whenskiesareblue (Presenting)

James Bowen60%2/3M Bowen
U40181
8.0Going 10.0Class ↓4

Improved following a 17-month absence when sweeping to success over C&D (good) in April. Found 2m too sharp in the Summer Hurdle next time but resumed her progression back at 2½m when accounting for 7 rivals at Worcester 31 days ago. Should remain very competitive off 5 lb higher.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par27/0925/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par15/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par23/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par18/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 82%27/09Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%15/11Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 42%18/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%23/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.1%Ahead 2/4
8
4
OR 106
10/1
Summergrounds silks

Multiple Sclerosis Borders Racing Club

10yo Gelding · 11-0

Phoenix Reach - Hannah Jacques (Flemensfirth)

Danny McMenamin80%1/13N G Richards60%
25P343
6.0Going 8.0

Veteran who has run with credit when reaching the frame in C&D handicaps on his last 2 outings but the suspicion is he might find at least the odd one too strong again.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/0926/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par1/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par26/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 91%24/09Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 64%1/02Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%12/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%15/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.5%Ahead 1/4
6
6
OR 112
14/1
Bel Amigo silks

The Dregs Of Humanity

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Jeu St Eloi - Belmiesque (Miesque's Son)

Bruce Lynn2/7N W Alexander
63225F
6.0Going 10.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Fairly useful hurdler/chaser in France who completed a hat-trick in novice hurdles at Carlisle in spring 2025. Runner-up twice in handicaps last winter but not seen since a fall at Musselburgh in February.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par19/0415/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par16/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par7/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par1/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/01projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%19/04Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%24/09Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%7/12Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%1/01
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.3%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 114
10/1
Bold Light silks

Mr T Carruthers

9yo Gelding · 11-8

Leading Light - Turmoss (Turgeon)

Gregor Walkingshaw0/1−10lbL Russell & M Scudamore60%
U43435
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Won 3 times over hurdles in 2024/25 campaign but has drawn a blank since. Latest C&D fifth in first-time cheekpieces (retained) was respectable but he's no good thing to build on it.

Class Advantage

1/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/0228/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par31/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par24/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%1/02Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%31/03Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%14/05Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%12/07
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.0%Ahead 1/4
9
10
OR 106
8/1
Rauzan silks

Quinlan Carruthers Huschka Miller

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Australia - Rayisa (Holy Roman Emperor)

Sean Quinlan80%1/10Lizzie Quinlan60%
286801
5.0Class ↓3
Tongue strapVisor

Capitalised on a falling mark at Cartmel (2¾m, good to soft) 23 days ago. Retains handicapping scope off 3 lb higher.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/0420/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par28/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%4/04Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%27/05Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%18/07Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 3/4
2
9
OR 114
8/1
Frontier Prince silks

Mr J N Greenley

5yo Gelding · 11-8

Frontiersman - Scorpion Princess (Scorpion)

Jack Hogan60%0/1F O'Brien
353340
4.0Class ↓4Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Got off the mark in a Chepstow novice last October and plenty of good efforts in handicaps since. Things didn't go right for him in the Swinton last time and worth treating as if still in form. Might prove the answer.

Class Advantage

14/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par14/1122/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/12 · mark par2/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par28/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par4/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par9/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%14/11Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%2/02Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 70%4/04Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%9/05
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 2/4
11
5
OR 105
20/1
Micks Jet silks

North South Flyers Syndicate

8yo Mare · 10-13

Jet Away - Miss Superior (Old Vic)

Miss Natasha Cookson−7lbP A Kirby
12333P
6.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Fairly useful handicap chase winner in January 2025 but pulled up on return from a year off at Carlisle in April and absent for a further 6 months since. Could only consider if backed.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/0123/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/01 · mark par7/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par26/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par18/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/03 · mark par20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/04projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%1/01Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 86%7/02Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%18/03Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%20/04
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.1%Ahead 0/4
12
8
OR 100
33/1
O'Faolains Glory silks

Girsonfield Racing Club

9yo Mare · 10-8

Fame And Glory - Kiltipford Lady (Beneficial)

Nathan Moscrop60%0/3S Corbett60%
P11409
4.0

Better than ever when completing a handicap chase double at Musselburgh over the winter. Presumably needed the run when well held on C&D reappearance last month but she'll need to leave that well behind to get heavily involved here.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par11/1028/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par22/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par1/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par22/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%11/10Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%22/12Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 18%22/03Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.4%Ahead 3/4
5
11
OR 112
14/1
Timefortom silks

Burnside Racing Ltd

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Soldier Of Fortune - Bell Walks Day (Flemensfirth)

D R Fox70%0/1L Russell & M Scudamore
5122P5
5.0

Irish point winner. Fair form when second in maiden/novice hurdles over 2½m towards the end of 2025 but below that level twice since, including C&D handicap debut in April (broke blood vessel).

Class Advantage

5/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/108/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/1223/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par23/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%5/10Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 67%8/12Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%23/04
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.4%Ahead 2/3
10
12
OR 105
20/1
Boston Jury silks

Mr A B Hamilton

6yo Gelding · 10-13

Jukebox Jury - Ambria (Monsun)

Conor RabbittA B Hamilton
89876P
2.0

Fair hurdle winner a couple of years ago but lost his way badly for Gordon Elliott and it remains to be seen whether a change of scenery helps to spark a revival.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par27/055/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par25/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par12/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par10/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/05projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move7
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 35y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%27/05Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%25/07Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%10/10Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%29/05
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -33.4%Ahead 1/4