14:50 · Goodwood

British EBF 100,000 2YO Fillies' Series Final (EBF Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race)

7fGoing TBCClass 22YO onlyTURF16 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 97
2/1
Eabha silks

Hp Racing Eabha

2yo Filly · 9-5

Space Blues - Ebeliya (Le Havre)

Charles Bishop1/5Eve Johnson Houghton60%
311324
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓2

Epsom 7f maiden/Newmarket nursery winner (good to firm) earlier this summer. Ran a cracker when second in Group 3 Prestige over C&D and not discredited with fourth of 11 to Musical TImes in May Hill Stakes at Doncaster (1m, good) 13 days ago. The form pick.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/069/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par8/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par15/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par30/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par10/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 60%15/06Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 3 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%30/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 70%10/09
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.1%Ahead 3/4
4
2
OR 81
8/1
Coral Cove silks

Nick Bradley Racing 18

2yo Filly · 9-3

Lucky Vega - Golddragon Reef (Fastnet Rock)

K Shoemark60%1/1James Owen
211
9.0Going 9.0

Upwardly-mobile Lucky Vega filly who scored in convincing fashion in 7f York novice in July before easily landing the odds in 13-runner novice at Ripon (1m, good to firm) following month. This is much tougher but she's in very good hands and capable of better still. High draw not ideal though.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a20/0624/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a24/0715/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%20/06Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.2%Ahead 2/3
7
8
OR 88
8/1
Fillipas silks

Middleham Park Racing Lxxxii

2yo Filly · 9-1

Coulsty - Alliseeisnibras (Slade Power)

Lewis Edmunds60%1/2B R Millman
2015
5.0Class ↓1

Took a significant step forward to get off the mark in 6f Salisbury novice in August. Progressed again with fifth of 11 in Dick Poole back there (6f, good to soft) since. This first go over 7f promises to suit so she's very much one to consider despite a high draw.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/062/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/0721/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/083/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%13/06Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%2/07Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.0%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 79
16/1
Kodi Bear Light silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

2yo Filly · 9-5

Kodi Bear - Light Glass (Lope De Vega)

S H James70%K R Burke60%
216014
6.0

Improved form when leading late on to double her tally in 7f Newmarket nursery in August. Respectable fourth of 11 in nursery at Doncaster (6.5f, good) 13 days ago. This demands more, however.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0416/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par15/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par10/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%29/04Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 29%30/05Pos 19 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 19 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%10/09
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.5%Ahead 2/4
13
10
11/2
Tikka silks

Fred Archer Racing - Lonely I

2yo Filly · 8-13

Sealiway - Tikitiki (Fastnet Rock)

Daniel Muscutt70%1/1J R Fanshawe60%
1
8.0

Sealiway filly made a highly promising debut when bagging 12-runner maiden at Kempton (7f) last month, always travelling powerfully before quickening clear in taking style last 1f. That form is working out well so she rates a most interesting prospect.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/08
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%10/08
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 1/1
8
3
OR 75
33/1
Wise And Wonderful silks

Mr Nicholas Jones

2yo Filly · 9-1

Oasis Dream - Great And Small (Galileo)

Rob Hornby0/1A M Balding80%
42102
5.0Going 9.0

Gained a first win at the third attempt in 7f Epsom maiden in July. Comes here on the back of a good second of 5 in nursery there (7f, firm) last month. Needs a clear personal best on these terms though.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0515/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par30/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%27/05Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%15/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%30/07Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 75%14/08
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 15-16 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.3%Ahead 1/4
3
7
OR 79
14/1
Flooding silks

Eclipse Thoroughbreds & Partner

2yo Filly · 9-4

Ghaiyyath - Dubai Rainbow (Tamayuz)

Oisin Murphy70%1/1M Botti
21
8.0

Ghaiyyath filly who shaped well when a debut second in 7f maiden at Newmarket and duly went one better in 5-runner novice (evens) at Salisbury (7f, good) by length from Tiora Time. Capable of further progress and shouldn't be underestimated.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0713/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a13/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength12%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%18/07Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%13/08
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.0%Ahead 1/2
15
4
OR 77
25/1
Tiora Time silks

Nick Bradley 7 & Partner

2yo Filly · 8-11

Time Test - Footlight (Showcasing)

Tom Marquand70%Tom Clover
3125
5.0Going 9.0

Progressive daughter of Time Test who bagged 6.5f maiden at Doncaster in August. Posted a very good fifth of 8 on her nursery bow at Sandown (1m, good to soft) 12 days ago. Not ruled out.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/071/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/0813/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/0811/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%9/07Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%13/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 43%11/09
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 2/4
5
12
OR 86
8/1
Zigazig Ah silks

Phil Cunningham

2yo Filly · 9-3

Rajasinghe - Rebel Surge (Kodiac)

Saffie Osborne70%2/5R Spencer
211527
5.0

Rajasinghe filly bagged 6f Yarmouth maiden before landing the Super Sprint at Newbury. Took her form up a notch when second in valuable sales event at Newmarket (6f) and not best drawn with seventh of 17 in another valuable sales event at Doncaster (6.5f, good) 13 days ago. Well in the mix.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/0626/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par29/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par10/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%4/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 94%22/08Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%10/09
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.6%Ahead 2/4
10
13
12/1
Lady Foxtrot silks

Nigel Dunnington & David Shaw

2yo Filly · 8-13

Minzaal - Beylerbey (Street Cry)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%1/1K R Burke60%
1
10.0

Minzaal filly belied market weakness to make a winning start in 13-runner novice at Carlisle (6f, good to soft) 2 weeks ago. That form leaves her with plenty to find but she's in excellent hands and promises to be well suited by this step up in trip.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +73.7%Ahead 1/1
9
5
OR 72
33/1
Summer Triangle silks

Chris Stedman

2yo Filly · 9-0

Land Force - Celestial Point (Pivotal)

Rhys Clutterbuck60%1/4G & J Moore
0221
7.0Going 9.0

Largely progressive Land Force filly who opened her account at the fourth time of asking in 8-runner maiden at Epsom (7f, good) 23 days ago. This is a difficult ask, however.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a8/059/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/0725/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/0731/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 18%8/05Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 86%9/07Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%25/07Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.9%Ahead 3/4
11
9
OR 77
20/1
Poppy Foxy silks

Nick Bradley Racing 27 & Oddsonsyndica

2yo Filly · 8-13

Bungle Inthejungle - Hayyel (Dark Angel)

Rossa Ryan70%Charlie Clover
61521
6.0

Bungle Inthejungle filly who landed 7f seller at Chester in June and doubled her tally in 5-runner nursery at Lingfield (1m, all-weather) last month. This requires a jolt of improvement but she's a genuine sort who hasn't stopped progressing yet.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/0513/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%31/05Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%30/06Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 86%7/07Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%17/08
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.7%Ahead 3/4
6
11
OR 82
10/1
China In Your Hand silks

Mr C Wright Mrs C Corbett Mr G Hargrea

2yo Filly · 9-1

Cracksman - Night Thrills (Dark Angel)

Paddy Bradley1/3C Fellowes
317
6.0Class ↓1

Built on debut promise to bag 7f Newmarket maiden (good to firm) in July. Found the step up to Group 3 company beyond her back at Newmarket since and this is no easy ask either.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a20/0618/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/078/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%20/06Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%8/08
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.1%Ahead 2/3
14
15
100/1
Light Fingered silks

Friends Of Ebony Horse Club

2yo Filly · 8-12

Cracksman - Perfect Inch (Dark Angel)

H Crouch60%C Fellowes
6
2.0

Cracksman filly was sent off at 66/1 but shaped well when a debut sixth of 13 in 7f novice at Kempton 19 days ago, getting the hang of things late having run green. Open to a fair bit of progress but she'll need to in this company.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 58%4/09
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +58.3%Ahead 1/1
12
14
OR 74
25/1
Rollthedicebaby silks

Mr O Humphrey

2yo Filly · 8-13

Soldier's Call - Masquerading (Charming Thought)

J P Spencer60%R Hannon80%
210606
4.0

Quick to get off the mark in 6f maiden here (heavy) in June. Hasn't built on that since and though there have been excuses on a couple of those occasions this represents a tall order.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a1/0512/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par10/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%1/05Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%18/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 53%20/08Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%10/09
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.5%Ahead 1/4