15:07 · Listowel

MAC Hardware & Farm Supplies Irish EBF Rated Race

1mYielding2YO onlyTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 83
3/1
Oristown Boy silks

Kilberry & Trim Partnership

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Inns Of Court - Billie Eria (Tamayuz)

Colin Keane60%Joseph Murray
0413
6.0Going 7.0

Took another step forward to get off the mark in 10-runner maiden at Galway (7f, good) last month. Backed it up with a good third of 8 in conditions event at Roscommon (7.5f, good, 7/2) 35 days ago. Colin Keane rides.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/0619/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/062/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0818/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 25%Dist: 1m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%12/06Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 75%19/06Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%2/08Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%18/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.3%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 76
13/2
Romance silks

Mrs E Halley

2yo Filly · 8-12

Kendargent - Romance Story (New Approach)

Andrew Slattery60%1/1J Halley
5061
5.0
Tongue strap

Improved effort with a tongue tie added (retained) when winning 10-runner nursery at Down Royal (7f, good, 7/1) 18 days ago, readily. Probably the one to beat if in similar form.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0531/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0720/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/084/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 25%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%11/05Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 36%31/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 62%20/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.4%Ahead 4/4
4
Value2
OR 78
7/1
Banks Of The Boyne silks

Michael Mulvany

2yo Gelding · 9-0

Space Traveller - High Shine (Paco Boy)

Wesley Joyce60%1/7M Mulvany
022413
7.0Going 8.0

Winner of maiden at Leopardstown in August. 5/1, creditable third of 6 in nursery at the Curragh (7f, good to soft) since. Should go well again.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/068/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par29/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%30/06Pos 2 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%30/07Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.7%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 82
25/1
Letmeentertainyou silks

Amy & Olivia Marnane

2yo Colt · 9-4

Ebro River - Ivresse Des Sens (Dabirsim)

Nathan Crosse0/3D Marnane
845
3.0

Fair form. Fifth of 14 in maiden (16/1) at Down Royal (7f, good) 18 days ago, worst of draw. A bit more will be needed to land a first success here.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0720/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/084/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%24/07Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 77%20/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 69%4/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.9%Ahead 3/3
1
Market Fav5
1/1
Oklahoma silks

Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier

2yo Colt · 9-12

Wootton Bassett - Hydrangea (Galileo)

Wayne Lordan60%0/2A P O'Brien
237
4.0Going 8.0

Wootton Bassett colt out of connections' British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes winner Hydrangea. Promise on first 2 starts but only seventh of 14 in Convivial maiden at the York Ebor meeting (good to soft) 32 days ago. Cheekpieces worn on that occasion are discarded

Class Advantage

27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0613/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/0721/08 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%27/06Pos 3 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 60%13/07Pos 7 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 7 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 54%21/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.6%Ahead 1/3
7
4
OR 75
10/1
Margot Mae silks

Alpha Racing

2yo Filly · 8-11

Starspangledbanner - Moody Blue (Invincible Spirit)

Shane Foley60%0/3Mrs J Harrington90%
6375
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Close third at Leopardstown (7f, soft) second time up, splitting a now-useful Ballydoyle pair, but hasn't come close to reproducing that since.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/044/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/069/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0729/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%25/04Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%4/06Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%9/07Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%29/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.6%Ahead 1/4
6
7
OR 73
50/1
Hypiradon silks

Roving Swan Partnership

2yo Gelding · 8-11

Cotai Glory - Lady Athaliah (Acclamation)

Rory Cleary0/3Kevin Coleman
060
2.0

Thrice-raced maiden. 40/1, ran no sort of race last of 12 in maiden at Roscommon (7.5f, good) 35 days ago. Hard to fancy after that.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/072/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0818/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 18%16/07Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 44%2/08Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%18/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.9%Ahead 2/3