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16:45 · Churchill Downs

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming

6f 110y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
3
OR 76
12/1
Four Dimes silks

Sean Mitchell

Four Dimes

3yo Colt · 8-9

Curlin - Four Grands (Honor Code)

Walter Rodriguez60%Colby Williams
4
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

23/08 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a23/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%23/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 0/1
5
Market Fav4
OR 75
7/5
My King Air silks

Tec Racing (elliott S Logan)

My King Air

4yo Colt · 8-12

King Zachary - Notacloudinthesky (Weather Warning)

Jose Ortiz60%Joe Sharp80%
756
3.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

19/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/1214/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/0929/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par29/10projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%19/12Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%14/09Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 29%29/10
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 2/3
2
5
OR 79
9/5
Problem Solved silks

Steven Asmussen

Problem Solved

4yo Colt · 8-12

Game Winner - Socialite (Distorted Humor)

Erik Asmussen60%Steven Asmussen
643482
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

1/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/0220/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par14/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par26/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par23/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%1/02Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%14/03Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%26/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%23/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 3/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 85
8/1
Abundance silks

Ismael Thoroughbreds Llc

Abundance

4yo Colt · 8-12

More Than Ready - Abounding Joy (Quality Road)

Johanis Aranguren60%−5lbEduardo Rodriguez
04744
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

28/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/1218/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/01 · mark par22/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par11/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par8/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 9%28/12Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 70%18/01Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%22/02Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 63%11/04Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%8/06
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.6%Ahead 1/4
6
Value2
OR 66
20/1
Berniedott silks

Barry King

Berniedott

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Maximum Security - Cora Mesa (Sky Mesa)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Barry King60%
774366
4.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

Class Advantage

24/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/0929/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par14/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par30/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par28/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par1/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%24/09Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%14/11Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%28/12Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%1/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.0%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 52
20/1
Federal Agent silks

Barnett, Debbie And Muench, Evelyn

Federal Agent

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Constitution - Mo D'amour (Uncle Mo)

Edgar Morales60%Bobby Barnett
062768
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

10/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par10/102/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par19/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par30/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par3/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par24/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par24/01projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%10/10Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%19/11Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%3/01Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%24/01
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.6%Ahead 2/4
1
7
OR 63
4/1
Hodl Hard silks

Dilworth, Scott, Andrews, Randy, Henderson, Charles C And Yashchuk, Andrew

Hodl Hard

3yo Colt · 8-9

Yaupon - Tabor Fleet (Super Saver)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Joe Sharp
08
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

17/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/072/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 13%2/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -55.6%Ahead 0/2