18:13 · Churchill Downs

Race 4 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market Fav4
OR 97
5/2
Proctor Phantom silks

Team Valor International Llc And Rose Petal Stable Llc

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Tapwrit - Spangled Banner (Tiz Wonderful)

Luis Saez60%Norm Casse
162464
6.0

Class Advantage

17/08 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a17/083/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par15/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par2/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par30/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par19/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par19/02projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%17/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 55%15/11Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%30/11Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%19/02
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.0%Ahead 1/4
7
Top Pick1
OR 87
5/1
Hesper silks

Blue Tarp La Racing Llc And Tagg Team Racing

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Catalina Cruiser - Short Iron (Tale Of The Cat)

Tyler Gaffalione60%1/3Gregory Foley
363316
6.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

24/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par24/0117/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/02 · mark par9/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par22/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%24/01Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 60%9/03Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%14/06Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%11/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.9%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 77
15/1
Dr Fenn silks

Vance Stables Llc

3yo Colt · 8-6

Cupid - Goncharova (Street Sense)

D E Sheehy1/4Thomas Vance60%
166768
3.0

Class Advantage

21/01 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/01 · mark par21/0114/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par22/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%21/01Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%24/04Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%10/06Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%10/07
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.3%Ahead 2/4
2
Value2
OR 83
6/1
Redacted silks

Premier Stable

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Honor Code - Delicatus (Distorted Humor)

Luis Rivera Jr60%Panagiotis Synnefias
752821
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

1/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/0114/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par21/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par9/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%1/01Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%21/02Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 83%27/06Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%12/07
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.2%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 94
4/1
Tiger's Legacy silks

Steven Asmussen

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Into Mischief - My Lady Luck (Hard Spun)

Keith AsmussenSteven Asmussen
458482
3.0

Class Advantage

26/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par26/0325/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par25/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%26/03Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%16/05Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%11/07Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%25/07
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.1%Ahead 1/4
3
8
OR 83
7/2
Halfway Joking silks

Jacobson Racing (zachary N Jacobson)

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Practical Joke - Halfway (Tapit)

Walter Rodriguez60%0/1David Jacobson
592115
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

7/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par7/021/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par24/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par8/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par8/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par28/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/02projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%7/02Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%24/10Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 27%8/02Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%28/02
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.6%Ahead 1/4
8
5
OR 86
10/1
Good To Be Prince silks

David Dory

4yo Gelding · 8-9

American Freedom - Princess Ulele (Uncaptured)

Jareth Loveberry60%Eduardo Rodriguez
475533
5.0

Class Advantage

4/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par4/1023/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par2/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par3/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par29/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 83%4/10Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 45%2/11Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%21/05Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%29/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.0%Ahead 1/4
5
7
OR 83
12/1
Mister Positivity silks

Foster Family Racing, Wargel, William J , Campbell, Donald H And R K Eckrich Racing, Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Cupid - City By The Bay (City Zip)

Summer Pauly60%0/1Eric Foster60%
619741
3.0

Class Advantage

22/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/087/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par13/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%22/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%7/02Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 11%13/03Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%11/06Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%10/07
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 2/4