20:51 · Presque Isle Downs

Race 4 - Allowance

6f3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 70
9/2
Celestial Speed silks

Flat Out Racing

4yo Filly · 8-11

Vekoma - Broken Blues (Broken Vow)

Antonio GallardoBrandon Kulp70%
297321
8.0

Class Advantage

15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a15/088/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par6/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par22/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par3/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par17/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%15/08Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%6/10Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%3/06Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%17/06
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.5%Ahead 1/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 85
4/1
Shez Untappable silks

Beauty For Ashes Stable, Llc

6yo Mare · 8-11

Race Day - Sheza Magic Match (Zulu Magic)

Gaddiel Martinez60%2/11Randall Russell60%
242323
7.0

Class Advantage

18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/0822/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par14/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%18/08Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 80%14/10Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%29/07Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.7%Ahead 0/4
6
4
OR 73
8/1
A P Sweetheart silks

Souped Up Stables

3yo Filly · 8-9

American Pharoah - Sororitysweetheart (Discreetly Mine)

Martina Rojas60%1/1Jimmy Corrigan
399831
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/0619/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par26/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par22/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%6/06Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 11%26/10Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 82%27/08Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.2%Ahead 4/4
3
Market Fav3
OR 81
3/1
Boogie Woogie silks

Randall Russell

5yo Mare · 8-11

Got The Last Laugh - Mymymyboogieshoes (Pure Precision)

Walber Alencar60%0/4Randall Russell60%
312432
7.0

Class Advantage

14/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/1022/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%14/10Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 75%2/07Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%18/08Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 80%1/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.9%Ahead 0/4
1
5
OR 80
7/2
Xmas In Cairo silks

Dunham Thoroughbreds

4yo Filly · 8-11

Cairo Prince - Southern Christmas (Harlan's Holiday)

Israel Rodriguez60%0/1Bernard Dunham60%
714223
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

9/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/0415/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par29/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%9/04Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%29/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 80%14/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%17/08
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.5%Ahead 2/4