13:22 · Redcar

Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery

5f 217yGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 66
9/2
Cheeky Chesca silks

Reality Partnerships Xiv

2yo Filly · 9-3

Invincible Army - Bear Cheek (Kodiac)

D Allan60%1/6T D Easterby60%
779331
7.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Seen to maximum effect to finally get off the mark in 8-runner nursery at Catterick (6f, good) just over a fortnight ago, making all having broke well from low draw. 6 lb rise could well leave her vulnerable.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/0615/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 14%25/06Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 27%1/08Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%30/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.2%Ahead 4/4
5
3
OR 67
5/1
Flower Youmzain silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

2yo Filly · 9-4

Ardad - Zhoour Youmzain (Sea The Stars)

K Stott70%0/2K A Ryan
5433
6.0Going 7.0

Ardad filly who looked unlucky not to go very close when third of 13 in novice at Carlisle (6f, good to soft) a fortnight ago, around ½ length down and closing when snatched up final 50 yds. One to look out for on nursery debut.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0613/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/089/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%8/06Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%25/06Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%13/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.3%Ahead 3/4
4
Value2
OR 67
7/1
Bigalo silks

Mr Ian Buckley

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Ardad - Kloa (Kingman)

Joanna Mason0/1Roger Fell
722232
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Wasted no time getting back on track having been given a slightly longer break between runs when second of 7 in seller over C&D (good to firm) 8 days ago, collared near line. He's now finished runner-up in half of his 8-race career so fancied to be in the mix returned to a nursery.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0622/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 40%27/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%31/07Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 80%22/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 1/4
10
7
OR 58
15/2
Lairy Mary silks

Mr Craig Wilson & Partner

2yo Filly · 8-9

Tasleet - Fantalope (Lope De Vega)

D Fentiman60%1/8T D Easterby
616462
5.0

Off the mark at the fourth attempt in claimer at Beverley in May and back to that sort of level when second of 10 in nursery there (5f, good) just under 6 weeks ago, well drawn. Mark unchanged and not without each-way hope.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0527/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 44%16/05Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%4/06Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 55%24/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%13/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.5%Ahead 3/4
1
5
OR 72
10/1
Wondervision silks

Bramble Syndicate

2yo Filly · 9-9

Minzaal - Wonderworld (Sea The Moon)

George Bass60%1/1J Channon
3317
6.0Class ↓3Going 7.0

Showed improved form to make a winning nursery debut at Wolverhampton last month, doing well to get up close home after meeting trouble. Seemed unsuited by the way the race developed at Doncaster (6.5f, good) earlier in the month so she's worth another chance.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0523/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0517/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/0810/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength92%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 82%8/05Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 75%23/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%10/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 1/4
2
Market Fav4
OR 71
4/1
Empress Princess silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

2yo Filly · 9-8

No Nay Never - Princess Wannabe (Galileo)

Connor Beasley60%J Tate60%
23
7.0

Made an encouraging start to her career when second of 6 over 5f at Beverley last month. Not seen to best effect as she got turned over at short odds when third of 5 in novice at Ripon just over 3 weeks ago and now makes the quick switch to a nursery. Step up to 6f will suit.

Class Advantage

13/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/081/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength59%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%13/08Pos 3 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 50%1/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.3%Ahead 1/2
9
6
OR 64
16/1
Onslaught silks

John Rhodes & Peter Timmins

2yo Colt · 9-1

Minzaal - Sans Sommeil (Shalaa)

Billy Garritty60%0/1R A Fahey80%
63355
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Should have been suited by the return to 6f but was never going with much fluency when fifth of 8 in nursery at Hamilton (6f, soft) 3 weeks ago. Handicapper drops him 3 lb and first-time cheekpieces need to sharpen him up.

Class Advantage

21/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0611/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par2/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%21/06Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%11/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%26/07Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%11/08Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%2/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 1/4
8
9
OR 64
16/1
Moonlight Tango silks

Bearstone Stud Limited

2yo Filly · 9-1

Dream Ahead - Big Sky (Fastnet Rock)

T EavesK A Ryan
61805
3.0Class ↓3

Left her debut form behind when digging deep to score at Beverley (5f) in May. Tailed off on her next 2 starts but took a step back in the right direction when fifth of 9 in nursery at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) 11 days ago.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/044/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength77%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%18/04Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%4/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%30/05Pos 18 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%31/07Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%12/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.6%Ahead 2/4
6
11
OR 66
14/1
Mubehir silks

Mr Fawaz Almutairi

2yo Gelding · 9-3

Sioux Nation - Kissysuzuki (Siyouni)

D Nolan0/4P T Midgley
0728
4.0

Son of Sioux Nation who left his opening pair of exploits in his wake when second of 10 in a Beverley novice last month. Gelded after but did too much too soon when eighth of 13 in maiden back there (5f) last week. Makes nursery bow.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/075/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0812/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/0816/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%20/07Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 14%5/08Pos 2 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 89%12/08Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 42%16/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.4%Ahead 2/4
11
10
OR 56
25/1
Excessive silks

Fine Claret Racing & Ptnr

2yo Gelding · 8-7

Cotai Glory - Flawless Beauty (Excellent Art)

Cam Hardie70%T D Easterby60%
45940
3.0
Cheek pieces

Shaped well when a debut fourth in 5f novice at Carlisle in June but has failed to build on it, tailed-off last of 10 in nursery at that track (6f, good to soft) a fortnight ago. Handicapper drops him a chunk but needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0621/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 57%9/06Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%21/06Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%23/07Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%11/08Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%9/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.4%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 68
15/2
North Star Kodi silks

Percy / Green Racing 2 & Partner

2yo Colt · 9-5

Kodi Bear - Revolutionintheair (Declaration Of War)

O J Orr60%0/2R A Fahey60%
338
4.0Going 7.0

Shaped encouragingly when third in a pair of maidens at Hamilton in May but looked rusty after 4 months off when eighth of 10 on nursery debut at Carlisle (6f, good to soft) a fortnight ago, again taken off his feet. More required.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0527/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/059/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%15/05Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%27/05Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 22%9/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.0%Ahead 1/3